Tankathon is a tool that a lot of fans of struggling teams use to see where their team could land in the draft order, and do some draft lottery simulations. As of 9:14 pm on January 13, 2022, the Flyers have the 9th worst record in the league, so 9th best odds at the 1st overall pick. They have 5.4% odds at 1st, 5.8% at 2nd, 58.6% at 9th, 27.6% at 10th , and 2.7% at 11th. These are the results I got.
I know I don’t have the best chicken scratch out there, so I will translate. We won the 1st overall pick 6 times, the 2nd overall pick 10 times, stayed put at 9th overall 53 times, dropped to 10th 28 times, and moved down 2 spots to 11th 3 times. Of course, as of right now, we are several months away from the draft lottery, so we could go lower in the standings and get better results, or go higher in the standings and get worse results. But we have overwhelmingly good odds to stay within the top 10. Obviously, getting the 1st overall pick and getting Shane Wright would be ideal as it would give us a legitimate 1C who also will undoubtably be a star in the NHL, but even staying at the 9-11 range could land us a guy like Simon Nemec, a dynamic RHD from Slovakia. Most likely, the Flyers will still be out of the playoffs for the majority of the remainder of the season, if not the rest of it, and so maybe I have to do this again. Also, the addition on the left was me figuring out the average draft position (8.16), but it didn’t matter because we can’t pick at 8th.
By Noah Caplan (@Phlyers24 and @NoahlyPod)
pic creds: tankathon.com